EURUSD Jan 26-30

Weekly

O: 1.33490 H: 1.33830 L: 1.27654 C: 1.29842
QQE: 42.115
Daily

• On the daily chart, we can see that this pair is slowly squeezing into a narrow channel.
• The movements are rather wide and support and resistances are important at this juncture.
• Look at how the week ended with a huge rejection at the bottom, leading upwards to breaking the resistance on top at 1.31160.
• If this breaks above that number, expect to see 1.35 but always keep tight stop losses and trade what you see, not what you think you want to see.
• I think we will be in for a volatile week and Monday US is already opening up with important news at 11pm which may weaken the dollar for a while.
• Expect very big swings on Thursday morning.

Hourly

• Looks like another wave down.
• We will probably see a test to the 1.3 level but the long will be rather short lived.
• Longs should be kept with tight stop losses.
• As for shorts, it may be good to bank half the trade and then let the other half ride for a mid term trade.

January Trades to date (Part 2)

We've passed three full weeks of trading for the month of January and I'm glad that I have been in +

Week 1 - 101 pips
Week 2 - 139 pips
Week 3 - 160 pips
Total - 400 pips
Sorry I didn't post week 3 up.

EURUSD Jan 19-23

Weekly

O: 1.34583 H: 1.34590 L: 1.30269 C: 1.32880

QQE: 43.99

Daily

• The daily has been a good indicator of the prices for this pair last week as it has been trading along the trendline.
• On the daily, we can see a closing wedge and 1.30407 which was the low for the week seems like a good support for now.
• This point can also be used as a Price Action.

QQE: 43.05

Hourly

• Riddled with spikes, you would have done a very good job if you scalped quickies as depending on your entry point, you may have gotten stopped out.
• Nonetheless, we can see that the market is ripe for a trade up on Monday though we do not expect a huge move up.
• I will look at 1.34263 as a strong resistance before it decides for a push further up. If it cannot be broken, be prepared to sell down to at least 1.31 again.

QQE: 58.08

Scalping quickies may be wise for this week.

Fundies

• Nothing interesting on Monday and US is closed for a Bank Holiday
• Tuesday onwards, biggies coming out for the whole week when London opens.

January trades to date

We've passed two full weeks of trading for the month of January and I'm glad that I have been in +

Week 1 - 101 pips
Week 2 - 139 pips
Total - 240 pips
Sorry I didn't post week 2 up.

EURUSD Jan 12-16 2008

O – 1.38850 H – 1.39602 L – 1.33127 C – 1.34287

• Let’s do a recap of what I said about this pair last week.
• It didn’t test 1.4188 and I think it will be a while before we see this number as this pair has finally found a direction – down.
• It broke 1.3840 and went as low as 1.33127 before retreating to 1.34287 for the week.
• Let’s see what this week has in store for us.
• Fundies-wise, nothing exciting on Monday but watch out from Tuesday onwards.

Weekly

On the weekly chart, 1.3417 is a good support. If this pair opens below this support on Monday, a sell to 1.3299 will be a good trade. QQE 45.02

Daily

We can see where the direction is heading clearer on the daily chart. Look at how the daily candles is sitting rather pretty on the trendline. QQE 50.98

Hourly

The last trading hours on the hourly seems like a flatliner but if you look at this chart, you see that it is making a re-entry into the trend-channel. Expect to short this pair but look for a good entry point as we will see some whipsaw this week too as we did in the last. Hourly QQE 26.73

Good luck.

EURUSD Trade 003 & 004

I didn't have good trades today and today was full of fundies which didn't exactly ride where the fundies was suppose to in a totally predictable world.



So anyways, Trade 003 was a manual SL at +2 and Trade 004 was another manual at +10, making my total for the day at +25. Because I have 5 decimal places instead of 4, the trade for the week is at +101.5.



The unemployment data was good for the US but it made the dollar weaker instead so go figure. The push down may come now but I'm off to bed and probably off for the week unless there's a really-really-dummy-proof-fantastic setup tomorrow.

Trade 004 was a sell but I closed it manually because I don't like that rejection right at where the trendline is and Obama and Trichet is going to speak while I sleep so not a good time to enter.

EURUSD Trade 003

Went in for a sell
- overtaking theory
- was trading below the trendline
- a possible H&S forming



Closed half a lot for +24 (12pips)

Sell: 1.35731
SL: 1.35711 (+2 x .5)
TP: 1.35056 (67)


Update:
SL @ + 1
Total +13 for this trade.
+87 for the week.

EURUSD Trade 002

Buy: 1.35748
SL: -40 (1.36148)
TP: 1.33550 (+219)

Stopped out @ -40 at 6.29pm.

Entry
Stopped out here.

EURUSD Trade 001

It is rather unfortunate that I didn't get a good entry and only went in at 4.24pm. Look at the "falling knife".

Asian session was trading very nicely along the trendline and managed to breakthrough at 2pm. Ff brought it a bit down so the signal was rather mixed but we can perhaps say that a doji is in place. I waited at the sidelines but it came too fast and furious and broke through the support at 1.3840.

I went in for a sell finally at 1.3782 (yes not a good entry).
TP: 1.3400
SL: 1.3760 (+22)

It's currently at +90 but we will see.

Latest Update @ 4.50pm:

• Changed to close my trade at +114 pips (1.3667).
• Look at why I closed my trade on the daily chart.
• Yes, we can definitely go lower but I'd like to keep some for now and go for a re-entry during NY, perhaps.
  

EURUSD Jan 5 - 9

Weekly
Last week, this pair closed with a small medium downclose and a medium rejection from the top.

O = 1.4104 H = 1.4363 L = 1.3838 C = 1.3850

• The support at 1.3840 was strong.
• This pair is looking for a direction and next week should be a good indicator as the previous week was fraught with holidays in general.
• QQE was at 45.198.

Weekly Chart

Daily

• A closing wedge has formed on the daily chart with a very good support at 1.3840.
• QQE is at 60.617.

Daily Chart




Hourly

• The week for the pair ended with a weakness for a bear run as you can see that it had a strong support at 1.3840.
• This pair can swing both ways when the market opens on Monday but the probability of it trying to test 1.4188 is high. If it sustains above that level, we may even get to see 1.4629 for that week.
• If 1.3840 is broken, expect to go short and watch out for these levels at 1.3757 and 1.3370.
• No major news releases on Monday so there will not be any unexpected swings for that day.
• On Tuesday, we have major news on the UK HPI (House Price Index) at 3pm and 5.30pm UK Service PMI. At 11pm, two big news which will move the market for the dollar i.e. the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and Pending Home Sales.
• In fact, there will be major news everyday (from Tuesday onwards) so don’t be caught off guarded.
• In summary, go for scalping as you may get whipsawed on this pair from Tuesday onwards. It is likely that we will see 1.4188 and Monday will be an upclose on the daily chart.

Hourly Chart