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Sunday, June 27, 2010

Analysis for EURUSD 28 Jun – 2 Jul 2010

Previous Week 14-18 June

O: 1.2204 H: 1.2416 L: 1.2162 C: 1.2372


Last Week 21-25 June

O: 1.2414 H: 1.2467 L: 1.2209 C: 1.2384

Weekly




Daily

Hourly



Expected for the week:

§ On the weekly, this pair is “barely out” of the downward trend so there is no strong indication of any biasness at this PA.

§ On the daily, I’d like to see a true break above 1.2461 which, may give us 1.2569, 1.2646 (23.3 Fibo).

§ On the hourly, the pair has rejected R1 @ 1.2377 with R2 @ 1.2406.

§ We might see the week consolidate if there is no true break either above 1.2461 or below 1.2258.

§ Trade the S&R with tight stops and if there is no setup, it will be better to wait on the side during the early part of the trading week.


Bulls:

1.2359, 1.2461, 1.2569, 1.2645 (23.6 Fib)

Bears:

1.2295, 1.2258, 1.2156, 1.2109, 1.1874 (0.00)


2006 numbers

1.2404, 1.2334, 1.2190, 1.2029, <1.1965> 1.1949, 1.1913, 1.1869, 1.1781


Fundamentals (based on +8GMT)

Mon:

EUR Zone – EUR news

USD Zone – USD news


Tue:

EUR Zone –CHF/GBP news

USD Zone – USD news


Wed:

EUR Zone – EUR/GBP/CHF news

USD Zone – EUR/USD/CAD news


Thu

CAD Holiday

EUR Zone - GBP news

USD Zone – USD news


Fri

EUR Zone –GBP/USD news

USD Zone – EUR news


Sunday, June 20, 2010

Analysis for EURUSD 21-25 June 2010

Previous Week 7-11 June

O: 1.1929 H: 1.2152 L: 1.1875 C: 1.2093


Last Week 14-18 June

O: 1.2204 H: 1.2416 L: 1.2162 C: 1.2372

Weekly

Daily

Hourly


Expected for the week:

§ Weekly and daily bullish. Hourly falling wedge

§ Weekly: V-recovery limited to 23.6 Fibo @ 1.2645

§ Daily, we need a close above 1.2454 to see 1.2527, 1.2597, 1.2645, 1.2674.

§ Hourly we have a falling wedge formed which may see a break above 1.2411 to give us 1.2452, 1.2517, 1.2597, 1.2645

§ Break below the falling wedge at 1.2346 may give us 1.2281, 1.2240, 1.2175

§ Sentiment is bullish but take heed about the fundamentals over the weekend about Estonia and the Chinese yuan which may give us some surprising numbers when the market opens for the week.

Bulls:

1.2454, 1.2597, 1.2645 (23.6 Fib)

Bears:

1.2240, 1.2175, 1.2043, 1.1932, 1.1874 (0.00)


2006 numbers

1.2404, 1.2334, 1.2190, 1.2029, <1.1965> 1.1949, 1.1913, 1.1869, 1.1781


Fundamentals (based on +8GMT)

Tue:

EUR Zone – EUR/GBP news

USD Zone – USD news


Wed:

EUR Zone – EUR/GBP news

USD Zone – EURUSD/CAD news


Thu

EUR Zone - EUR news

USD Zone – USD news