2009

This blog will be active in 2009 and these are what we expect to see:

1. Weekly projections before Monday's trade is opened.
2. Weekly pip summary.
3. Daily projection.
4. Details/rationale of why trade was taken.

As mentioned in my previous posting, trades may not be taken everyday so No. 4 will not apply but No.3 will always be posted on a trading day.

Cheers!

Finetuning

Hi, I'm back now with a new focus and doing some fine tuning on my trades. I'm no longer on the 10pip scalping theory but am looking at more quality trades to lessen the amount of time I spend trading albeit the emotional roller coaster ride than comes with scalp trading.

I find that I can trade comfortably well when I've identified the support and resistances for the week and day and my new goal is to gain at least 100pips a week.

Last week, I fell short of 1 pip over 4 trades. 3 good ones and 4 bad ones.

EURUSD Daily

The Daily Pivot is at 1.3599 and the market is currently trading at 1.3676.

Now we all know that today is the 2nd day stocks have rallied now that all banks have guaranteed all deposits. Frankly, I think this is a last shot to boost investors' confidence and while I should be cheering, I think we have not seen the bottom.

I think we will see more volatility in November but that's for another story.

I attach the daily chart. If the market can hold above 1.3660, we will see an upclose above 1.3712.

Euro traded +182 on Monday's opening

The Euro traded 182 pips open Monday's opening as Euro Rises Most in 3 Weeks as European Leaders Guarantee Banks.

On hiatus

Aite, I'll be away till the 26th and to save you from all the hoobabaloo, let's just say that my internet connection is limited. I should post this under "Fundies" but let's just say that the market was shot this week and we would probably see a technical rebound on Monday as the FED tries its best to inject confidence into the market.

McCain is following in the footsteps of Hilary Clinton ... blah .. blah.... blah so we could almost know who is going to be President next.

Till then, I'll be back full time on 27th October and may the pips be with us all.

EURUSD Daily

I was right about Monday and I was half right about Tuesday (yesterday).

Yesterday, the market opened at 1.3515 and had an upclose at 1.3571, I said it will be an upclose above 1.3643. It did reach as high as 1.3741 but the high was not sustainable.

DAILY CHART



Today, the market opened at 1.3570 and the daily pivot is at 1.3598.

I believe the market will try to trade at 1.3648 but it may not be sustainable and will probably trade down to 1.3454. Not much fundies coming out today except for the

Pending home sales for the US at 10am

so we may not see too much surprising moves between now and then.

UPDATE @ 4.28pm
The $ weakened when the London session opened by approx. 123 pips. UK is receiving a bail out plan of 50bn pounds. Can't get into details that much as I have a flight to catch.

EURUSD Daily Update

The market fell, yesterday. Fundies wise, there was panic in the European markets and people are looking to the dollar and yen as a safe haven.

Technically, the market yesterday opened at 1.3645 and closed at 1.3516.

I wasn't available to track this pair till now but it opened at 1.3515 and is now trading at 1.3583 and the daily pivot is at 1.3543.

The fundies coming out today at 6.30pm (German Factory Orders) may not disrupt the market that much but watch out for

• 9.30pm - ECB Trichet speaks
• 11.00pm - FOMC Member Stern speaks.

We can expect the market to have an upclose today above 1.3643.

On the weekly basis, 1.3983 will be a nice resistance to look at. The monthly pivot is at 1.3942.

I attach the daily and hourly chart captured at 3.33pm. The latest candle is today's so it is still fluctuating.

DAILY CHART


HOURLY CHART

EURUSD: 10.02am

This was taken at 10.02am on the hourly chart so the new candle is about 2 minutes' worth.

This pair hit a new low when it opened at 1.3645 so looks like we are heading south today. The daily pivot is now at 1.3653 so this will determine pretty much where this pair wants to go today.

The QQE is currently at 33.08 and is trading below the MA6.

Watch out for 1.3609. If it closes a true body below that area, we will see a fall. It it trades above 1.3653, we will see an upclose.

1.3698, 1.3710, 1.3749.





10.18am - Market Indices

News Update:
2.44pm Euro Falls to 13-Month Low as Credit Crisis Spread...

EURUSD: 06 Oct - 10 Oct 2008

Important Week on Wed/Thu/Fri - refer to Forex Factory

Currently trading at 1.3774

HOURLY

• Monday may swing both ways depending on these supports. If the true body closes below 1.3710, it will be a small short for the day.
• If it can trade above 1.3848, it will be an upclose from 1.3912 to 1.4116.

DAILY

• On the daily chart, it is rejecting the monthly support1 at 1.3710.
• QQE has crossed at 34.6 which means that it may need to reverse as it has been oversold.
• The 100% FIBO is at 1.3745 and managed to hit twice on Friday on the hourly chart but there was no true body close before it shot up again.
• The daily chart points downwards for a potential to hit 1.3683 which is the daily S1 but this short may not sustain.
• 1.3912 is the new resistance and it it manages to close above that level, it may retrace back all the way up betwenn 1.4096 to 1.4175.
• If the latter is broken, it will hit even higher.

WEEKLY

• On the weekly candle, it was a huge short of approx. 830 pips.
• QQE is crossed at 35.0173 which means it may be oversold.
• It is trading way below the Gann Hi-Lo. On the weekly chart, we may see a retracement to 1.3912.
• If it manages to close above that level, it may go even higher if not, we may see a low of 1.3580.

18 September - 30 September 08

I started out with a $5,000 account and was left with $5,940.

It was a total of 9 trading days, averaging 10 pips a day using 1 standard lot.

Hours that have nice sets ups in this order are:

1. 3pm (when London opens)
2. 10pm (two hours after NY opens)

10am is just ok. Will be testing that hour again as I just made +16pips but it is only good for scalping.

I think the best method which I am comfortable for now is scalping. If I see 30-40 pips and it hits the support/resistance I should just take and run. Happened a few times and that would be the perfect strategy for a 30pip daily.

Wilkommen

Hello and welcome to ThePipsMaker Diary on how I make my pips based on sound technical analysis (techies) and fundamental news (fundies).I intended to categorize this diary into three segments but on hindsight, that would pretty much clutter the page so I will dedicate each blog to these various segments

ThePipsMaker – my daily trading charts posted here with rationale and commentaries
IsTheDollarStillKing – an introduction and in-depth analysis on the USD
FxNewsOnline – all the fundies that are moving the market and which economic data to look out for

Nonetheless, I am very much a scalper so my trades don’t “last very long”. For example, I may just trade for the first five minutes when the London or NY session opens and then close for a small profit.

You may ask, “Why don’t you leave your trade open even when the momentum seems like it will go your way for more pips?” Well, different people trade different styles and I’m sure as I move along, I will be more confident to trade intraday. That will be my ultimate aim – trade less and make more pips.

Be good at what you are doing and then get better.

The pair that I will be focusing on is the Eurusd. However, if I do see opportunities in other major pairs, I’ll jump ship. I’m refraining from the Pound though as it has proven itself to be a nasty beast. Having said, I will ride the pound when I have higher fund liquidity.

Background-wise, I have a live account with IBFX and a demo account with Meta4. I have a list of indicators to help me in my trading but my catalyst is the Japanese candlestick. As I move along, my reliance on certain indicators will differ but I will keep you guys updated on the latest happenings.

I’ll be trading full time w.e.f 15 September 2008 (may be sitting on the sidelines for the first week) so now may be a lull period for this blog as I tie some loose ends on my side of reality.

I’ll be setting up another site very soon which will give you a basic understanding of forex.

Till then, make the pips be with you and us all.